Crystal Ball Challenge: When will Connect have 2,000,000 members online?

[YK1001]

As of Jan 10, 2018 05:14 UTC

Let's predict when will Connect's members online count reaches 2 million.

[Malarik]

Maybe within one year? 🙂

[YK1001]

Thank you very much, @Malarik!

It is a start.

[LucioV]

As you know I've posted for 300K and 400K, and I can tell you there is a little slowing down in Connect. I don't know why, maybe they have changed the way new users are proposed to join.

I think that if nothing changes we are going on a negative slope of the curve, maybe we will never reach this number.

[YK1001]

Hi @LucioV,

WOW!  Never is a really pessimistic forecast.

Only time will tell!

[LucioV]

Yes I know! May sound pessimistic! But I see an horizontal asymptote here

With the new subscription is more like a tan function

And I suspect we are near physical limits of Lithium; so the program will grow, but this community will grow slower.

[YK1001]

May be sooner or later, we will have LG Mathematician can use some historic data to plot the trends for us.

[LucioV]

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@YK1001 wrote:

May be sooner or later, we will have LG Mathematician can use some historic data to plot the trends for us.

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I don't have those data 😄 But I can recognize a trend! I'm pretty sure something changed when we crossed 400K members, maybe the registration process, maybe the first email after adding some contributes.. don't know!

[agraharichetan]

Hi @YK1001

Well the target is quite large, but I'm sure it will be achieved one day. I think maybe our LG family needs a year and half to grow this big.

Fingers crossed, all the best.

Thanks 😎✌️ 

[YK1001]

Now, we have three predictions.

Thank you very much, @agraharichetan!